Understand the evidence. Check the limits. Explore the right tool.
Wondering whether the time of year matters for gold? Start with the monthly pattern below, then check how much the years differed. An average can help you ask better questions; it cannot tell you what happens next.
Read the research →| Period | Mean | Minimum | Maximum | Observations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 2.18 | -2.42 | 6.17 | 8 |
| Feb | -0.38 | -5.89 | 6.84 | 8 |
| Mar | 2.57 | -2.23 | 9.91 | 8 |
| Apr | 1.1 | -3.42 | 4.36 | 8 |
| May | 1.54 | -1.81 | 5.51 | 8 |
| Jun | -0.19 | -5.05 | 5.7 | 8 |
| Jul | 2.26 | -2.35 | 10.76 | 8 |
| Aug | 1.37 | -2.9 | 9.86 | 8 |
| Sept | 0.5 | -5.13 | 12.07 | 8 |
| Oct | 2.91 | -0.29 | 8.31 | 8 |
| Nov | -0.37 | -5.96 | 4.93 | 8 |
| Dec | 2.98 | -0.57 | 4.6 | 8 |
Eight observations per month (2018–2025). Every month included a negative outcome.
A reproducible weekly research report for 14 Sept 2026–19 Sept 2026: 315 stored events, 13 high-impact observations, and a careful framework for translating surprises into bullion checks.
Read the study →| Component | Value | Minimum | Maximum | Scenarios |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Converted gold | 86,807.02 | — | — | 1 |
| Assumed costs | 5,000 | — | — | 1 |
| Example total | 91,807.02 | — | — | 1 |
Gold = converted gold · Costs = assumed local costs · Total = gold + costs
Illustrative inputs only: $3,000 per troy ounce × ₹90 per dollar × 10 ÷ 31.1034768 = ₹86,807.02 per 10 g. Add an assumed ₹5,000 of local costs: ₹91,807.02. Neither amount is a current market quote.
Convert the hypothetical USD/troy-ounce reference into INR/10 g using USDINR and 31.1034768 grams per troy ounce. Add a hypothetical absolute cost allowance; do not infer any current duty or tax rate from it.
Reviewed: 2026-09-14. Unit factor checked against NIST; conversion and addition checked independently with integer-ratio arithmetic in the editorial tests.
A practical COMEX to MCX calculator guide: convert global gold through USDINR and landed-cost assumptions, then read the MCX premium, discount, and import-parity basis.
Read the study →| Period | Mean | Minimum | Maximum | Observations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 2.18 | -2.42 | 6.17 | 8 |
| Feb | -0.38 | -5.89 | 6.84 | 8 |
| Mar | 2.57 | -2.23 | 9.91 | 8 |
| Apr | 1.1 | -3.42 | 4.36 | 8 |
| May | 1.54 | -1.81 | 5.51 | 8 |
| Jun | -0.19 | -5.05 | 5.7 | 8 |
| Jul | 2.26 | -2.35 | 10.76 | 8 |
| Aug | 1.37 | -2.9 | 9.86 | 8 |
| Sept | 0.5 | -5.13 | 12.07 | 8 |
| Oct | 2.91 | -0.29 | 8.31 | 8 |
| Nov | -0.37 | -5.96 | 4.93 | 8 |
| Dec | 2.98 | -0.57 | 4.6 | 8 |
Eight observations per month (2018–2025). Every month included a negative outcome.
Within each calendar month: (last available reference / first available reference − 1) × 100. The monthly mean weights each of the eight years equally; this is not prior-month-close total return.
Reviewed: 2026-09-14. JavaScript first/last independently matched SQL for every monthly observation
Gold seasonality is the study of recurring historical behavior by month or event window. Useful research checks tendency, consistency, sample size, macro context, and the difference between bullion and gold-stock seasonality.
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A reproducible weekly research report for 7 Sept 2026–12 Sept 2026: 274 stored events, 16 high-impact observations, and a careful framework for translating surprises into bullion checks.
Read the study →A reproducible weekly research report for 31 Aug 2026–5 Sept 2026: 347 stored events, 19 high-impact observations, and a careful framework for translating surprises into bullion checks.
Read the study →A reproducible weekly research report for 24 Aug 2026–29 Aug 2026: 245 stored events, 11 high-impact observations, and a careful framework for translating surprises into bullion checks.
Read the study →A reproducible weekly research report for 17 Aug 2026–22 Aug 2026: 277 stored events, 11 high-impact observations, and a careful framework for translating surprises into bullion checks.
Read the study →A reproducible weekly research report for 10 Aug 2026–15 Aug 2026: 265 stored events, 17 high-impact observations, and a careful framework for translating surprises into bullion checks.
Read the study →A reproducible weekly research report for 3 Aug 2026–8 Aug 2026: 285 stored events, 14 high-impact observations, and a careful framework for translating surprises into bullion checks.
Read the study →A macro calendar helps gold traders identify today's scheduled inflation, jobs, central-bank, holiday, and FX-sensitive risk before those events change rates, USD, USDINR, or bullion volatility.
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A hub for fair value and import parity research, linking common MCX gold questions to the import-parity note, parity formula guide, and tracker.
Read the study →A macro calendar hub for gold traders who need to connect economic releases with COMEX gold, USDINR, MCX fair value, and event timing.
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A seasonality hub for traders who want to separate recurring gold windows from folklore before testing them with event and backtest context.
Read the study →A visual research page that explains the import parity spread, why MCX can trade rich or cheap, and how to move from one fair-value print into a repeatable desk workflow.
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